Thinking about the question if AI will take jobs. Don't think so, things will change and done differently. As you said result will probably be along these lines "...better, quicker, more affordable evaluations, boosting demand and making evaluators busier than ever." I would just say that "better" part will depend on human touch and knowledge to use the tool with all its limitations and flaws.
Another aspects worth exploring further are "quicker" and "busier". Do you think that once AI supported evaluations are acknowledged as a mainstream way of doing things, average number of days per evaluation will going down? For example what was expected to be done in 50 paid days now will be 20 or 30 days in average? Maybe even with reduced day fee? Will busier part be a need for more contracts to earn the same amount? And re "boosting demand" will greater demand be sufficient to fill the gap? Of course, nobody know the future but anyway intetested in your view. Cheers
Thanks Ivan! My guess is that the average number of days needed for an evaluation will reduce, possibly by a lot. In the extreme case, some evaluations might even become self-service (commissioner+AI). The impact on overall demand is hard to say, it depends on so many factors, but if evaluations are genuinely useful and can be done at lower cost, then perhaps people will want to evaluate more things. I remain curious!
I love the discussion of the limitations of AI! These points need a wide audience :)
Great post, Julian. AI in evaluation unpacked.
Thinking about the question if AI will take jobs. Don't think so, things will change and done differently. As you said result will probably be along these lines "...better, quicker, more affordable evaluations, boosting demand and making evaluators busier than ever." I would just say that "better" part will depend on human touch and knowledge to use the tool with all its limitations and flaws.
Another aspects worth exploring further are "quicker" and "busier". Do you think that once AI supported evaluations are acknowledged as a mainstream way of doing things, average number of days per evaluation will going down? For example what was expected to be done in 50 paid days now will be 20 or 30 days in average? Maybe even with reduced day fee? Will busier part be a need for more contracts to earn the same amount? And re "boosting demand" will greater demand be sufficient to fill the gap? Of course, nobody know the future but anyway intetested in your view. Cheers
Thanks Ivan! My guess is that the average number of days needed for an evaluation will reduce, possibly by a lot. In the extreme case, some evaluations might even become self-service (commissioner+AI). The impact on overall demand is hard to say, it depends on so many factors, but if evaluations are genuinely useful and can be done at lower cost, then perhaps people will want to evaluate more things. I remain curious!